Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.019458 0.024777 0.031960 0.042754 0.059315 0.085239 0.132497
2024-12-29 0.013470 0.018932 0.027512 0.043166 0.074400 0.144726 0.371054
2025-01-05 0.010227 0.015158 0.023584 0.040875 0.082077 0.205904 0.936951
2025-01-12 0.008408 0.012953 0.021230 0.039868 0.091586 0.298362 3.182239
2025-01-19 0.007526 0.012059 0.020870 0.042826 0.115746 0.549853 77.837768
2025-01-26 0.007007 0.011664 0.021325 0.048089 0.157431 1.322163 NaN
2025-02-02 0.006571 0.011308 0.021728 0.053628 0.215523 4.286883 NaN
2025-02-09 0.005950 0.010446 0.020693 0.054116 0.251293 12.426951 NaN
2025-02-16 0.005447 0.009735 0.019826 0.054746 0.294388 68.516494 NaN
2025-02-23 0.005005 0.009078 0.018928 0.054807 0.338239 5331.184557 NaN
2025-03-02 0.004513 0.008241 0.017367 0.051403 0.339293 NaN NaN
2025-03-09 0.004182 0.007720 0.016557 0.050838 0.377460 NaN NaN
2025-03-16 0.003895 0.007311 0.016114 0.052463 0.477399 NaN NaN
2025-03-23 0.003607 0.006865 0.015481 0.053024 0.585720 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 0.003279 0.006275 0.014285 0.049990 0.602930 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 0.003031 0.005847 0.013488 0.048661 0.669218 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 0.002916 0.005722 0.013595 0.052573 1.008858 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 0.002854 0.005719 0.014091 0.059607 1.927754 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 0.002788 0.005696 0.014522 0.067110 4.227408 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 0.002642 0.005442 0.014088 0.067775 6.249073 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 0.002512 0.005217 0.013705 0.068637 9.949379 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 0.002387 0.004990 0.013267 0.068720 15.737445 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 0.002229 0.004660 0.012385 0.064084 14.463586 NaN NaN